| Evidence of trends in daily climate extremes over southern and west Africa M New, B Hewitson, DB Stephenson, A Tsiga, A Kruger, A Manhique, ... Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 111 (D14), 2006 | 856 | 2006 |
| Projected changes in mean and extreme precipitation in Africa under global warming. Part I: Southern Africa ME Shongwe, GJ Van Oldenborgh, B Van Den Hurk, B De Boer, ... Journal of climate 22 (13), 3819-3837, 2009 | 326 | 2009 |
| The 2014 southeast Brazil austral summer drought: regional scale mechanisms and teleconnections CAS Coelho, CP de Oliveira, T Ambrizzi, MS Reboita, CB Carpenedo, ... Climate Dynamics 46, 3737-3752, 2016 | 303 | 2016 |
| Supplement: State of the Climate in 2013 supplemental figures J Blunden, DS Arndt Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 95 (7), ES1-ES22, 2014 | 277 | 2014 |
| Spatio-temporal modelling of climate-sensitive disease risk: Towards an early warning system for dengue in Brazil R Lowe, TC Bailey, DB Stephenson, RJ Graham, CAS Coelho, ... Computers & Geosciences 37 (3), 371-381, 2011 | 200 | 2011 |
| Precipitation diagnostics of an exceptionally dry event in São Paulo, Brazil CAS Coelho, DHF Cardoso, MAF Firpo Theoretical and applied climatology 125, 769-784, 2016 | 194 | 2016 |
| State of the Climate in 2018 J Blunden, DS Arndt Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 100 (9), Si-S306, 2019 | 181 | 2019 |
| Exploring the impacts of the tropical Pacific SST on the precipitation patterns over South America during ENSO periods CAS Coelho, CB Uvo, T Ambrizzi Theoretical and applied climatology 71, 185-197, 2002 | 180 | 2002 |
| Dengue outlook for the World Cup in Brazil: an early warning model framework driven by real-time seasonal climate forecasts R Lowe, C Barcellos, CAS Coelho, TC Bailey, GE Coelho, R Graham, ... The Lancet infectious diseases 14 (7), 619-626, 2014 | 158 | 2014 |
| Forecast assimilation: A unified framework for the combination of multi-model weather and climate predictions DB Stephenson, CAS Coelho, FJ Doblas-Reyes, M Balmaseda Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 57 (3), 253-264, 2005 | 136 | 2005 |
| Forecast calibration and combination: A simple Bayesian approach for ENSO CAS Coelho, S Pezzulli, M Balmaseda, FJ Doblas-Reyes, ... Journal of Climate 17 (7), 1504-1516, 2004 | 131 | 2004 |
| Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction WJ Merryfield, J Baehr, L Batté, EJ Becker, AH Butler, CAS Coelho, ... Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 101 (6), E869-E896, 2020 | 123 | 2020 |
| State of the climate in 2008 TC Peterson, MO Baringer Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 90 (8), S1-S196, 2009 | 115 | 2009 |
| Methods for exploring spatial and temporal variability of extreme events in climate data CAS Coelho, CAT Ferro, DB Stephenson, DJ Steinskog Journal of Climate 21 (10), 2072-2092, 2008 | 105 | 2008 |
| Climate diagnostics of three major drought events in the Amazon and illustrations of their seasonal precipitation predictions CAS Coelho, IAF Cavalcanti, SMS Costa, SR Freitas, ER Ito, G Luz, ... Meteorological Applications 19 (2), 237-255, 2012 | 98 | 2012 |
| 8. FACTORS OTHER THAN CLIMATE CHANGE, MAIN DRIVERS OF 2014/15 WATER SHORTAGE IN SOUTHEAST BRAZIL FEL Otto, CAS Coelho, A King, EC De Perez, Y Wada, ... Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96 (12), S35-S40, 2015 | 96 | 2015 |
| Toward an integrated seasonal forecasting system for South America CAS Coelho, DB Stephenson, M Balmaseda, FJ Doblas-Reyes, ... Journal of Climate 19 (15), 3704-3721, 2006 | 96 | 2006 |
| Two extra components in the Brier score decomposition DB Stephenson, CAS Coelho, IT Jolliffe Weather and Forecasting 23 (4), 752-757, 2008 | 94 | 2008 |
| Climatic and synoptic characterization of heat waves in Brazil JL Geirinhas, RM Trigo, R Libonati, CAS Coelho, AC Palmeira International Journal of Climatology 38 (4), 1760-1776, 2018 | 80 | 2018 |
| El Niño–induced tropical droughts in climate change projections CAS Coelho, L Goddard Journal of Climate 22 (23), 6456-6476, 2009 | 79 | 2009 |
